Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -250 HC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -12.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -9.4 (+2.6) | 135.2 (-7.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -8.4 (+3.6) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -8.7 (+3.3) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -9.0 (+3.0) | 135.7 (-7.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | HC 72 – 63 BUCK |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HC 65 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BUCK 94 – 81 HC |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BUCK 86 – 82 HC |
| Feb 22, 2024 | HC 73 – 59 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#287) | -14.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#276) | -2.48 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#267) | -3.71 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#273) | 0.392 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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