Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -300 TEM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -4.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+39.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -3.4 (+5.6) | 138.4 (+36.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -4.3 (+4.7) | 138.0 (+37.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -4.5 (+4.5) | 139.6 (+35.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -4.7 (+4.3) | 141.9 (+33.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#107) | 3.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#148) | 1.02 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#158) | 0.96 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#138) | 0.539 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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