Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -125 TEM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -0.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -0.3 (+10.7) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -0.2 (+10.8) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -0.2 (+10.8) | 144.5 (-1.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -0.1 (+10.9) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TULN 87 – 76 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#213) | 0.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#162) | 0.28 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#197) | 0.22 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#173) | 0.507 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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