Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -110 TULN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +11 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -2.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.9 (-12.9) | 146.6 (+16.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -1.7 (-12.7) | 147.7 (+15.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -0.8 (-11.8) | 150.6 (+12.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.7 (-11.7) | 149.3 (+13.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#152) | 3.0 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#160) | 0.19 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#152) | 0.28 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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