Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -175 TULN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -5.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -5.3 (-2.3) | 148.0 (+9.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -4.1 (-1.1) | 150.2 (+6.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -5.9 (-2.9) | 150.6 (+6.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -5.9 (-2.9) | 149.2 (+7.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TULN 87 – 76 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#114) | 1.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#106) | -0.53 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#106) | -0.36 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#78) | 0.459 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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