Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -198 TULN +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -5.2 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -3.8 (+25.2) | 139.9 (+9.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.9 (+26.1) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.8 (+24.2) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -3.9 (+25.1) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TULN 87 – 76 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#171) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#198) | 0.33 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#201) | -0.02 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#222) | 0.518 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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