Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -250 TEM +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +1 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -5.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -5.1 (-4.1) | 153.5 (+11.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -3.8 (-2.8) | 151.8 (+13.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -5.3 (-4.3) | 153.4 (+11.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -5.0 (-4.0) | 154.6 (+10.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TULN 87 – 76 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#96) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#93) | 0.54 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#98) | 0.60 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#119) | 0.524 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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