Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.0 Over |
| Money | WAG -900 MRMK +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +15 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -17.7 (-32.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -14.1 (-29.1) | 128.6 (+16.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -13.5 (-28.5) | 129.8 (+15.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -14.2 (-29.2) | 128.2 (+16.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -13.2 (-28.2) | 129.1 (+15.9) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2024 | WAG 54 – 47 MRMK |
| Jan 26, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 44 WAG |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WAG 71 – 65 MRMK |
| Jan 17, 2023 | WAG 62 – 57 MRMK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | MRMK 58 – 48 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 58.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#109) | -10.1 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#42) | -1.92 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#51) | -2.48 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#81) | 0.436 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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