Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -300 WAG +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -10.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -7.0 (-13.0) | 127.7 (+8.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.1 (-13.1) | 126.3 (+9.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -8.0 (-14.0) | 126.7 (+9.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -8.0 (-14.0) | 127.6 (+8.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2024 | WAG 54 – 47 MRMK |
| Jan 26, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 44 WAG |
| Jan 17, 2023 | WAG 62 – 57 MRMK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | MRMK 58 – 48 WAG |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MRMK 80 – 65 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#181) | -7.6 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#205) | -0.94 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#209) | -1.74 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#179) | 0.439 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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