Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 119.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -400 WAG +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +7 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -9.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.4 (-12.4) | 126.1 (-25.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.3 (-14.3) | 124.3 (-23.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -7.0 (-14.0) | 125.1 (-24.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -7.0 (-14.0) | 127.3 (-26.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 44 WAG |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WAG 71 – 65 MRMK |
| Jan 17, 2023 | WAG 62 – 57 MRMK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | MRMK 58 – 48 WAG |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MRMK 80 – 65 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#197) | -7.7 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#205) | -1.36 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#214) | -1.89 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#123) | 0.448 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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