Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 116.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -125 WAG +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -1.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 110.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -3.1 (-1.9) | 123.3 (-4.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -1.1 (-3.9) | 121.5 (-2.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.0 (-5.0) | 123.2 (-4.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -1.3 (-3.7) | 125.6 (-6.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2024 | WAG 54 – 47 MRMK |
| Jan 26, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 44 WAG |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WAG 71 – 65 MRMK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | MRMK 58 – 48 WAG |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MRMK 80 – 65 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#340) | -8.1 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#343) | -1.31 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#338) | -1.97 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#325) | 0.427 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 25.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 42.0% |
Game Analysis
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