Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Under |
| Money | LIP -125 EKU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.5 (+9.5) | 161.4 (-5.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.1 (+8.9) | 157.1 (-1.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -1.6 (+8.4) | 155.5 (+0.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.3 (+8.7) | 158.3 (-2.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
Game Analysis
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