Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +450 WEB -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -9.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -9.7 (+13.7) | 155.3 (+6.7) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -8.1 (+12.1) | 155.1 (+6.9) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -8.3 (+12.3) | 155.2 (+6.8) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -9.2 (+13.2) | 154.6 (+7.4) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WEB 83 – 72 IDHO |
| Jan 18, 2026 | IDHO 75 – 67 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDHO 81 – 79 WEB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDHO 82 – 74 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WEB 70 – 69 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#329) | 0.5 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#341) | 0.66 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#330) | 0.75 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#335) | 0.520 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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