Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -250 WEB +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -4.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -4.6 (-15.6) | 150.9 (+4.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -3.7 (-14.7) | 149.4 (+5.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -4.3 (-15.3) | 148.0 (+7.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -4.1 (-15.1) | 149.1 (+5.9) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | IDHO 75 – 67 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDHO 81 – 79 WEB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDHO 82 – 74 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WEB 70 – 69 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WEB 88 – 65 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#169) | -2.0 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#204) | -0.80 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#190) | -0.82 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#235) | 0.456 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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