Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Weber State Wildcats
67 – 75
FINAL Conference
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · January 18, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -1.5 Away covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money WEB -110 / IDHO -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual IDHO +8 142 Lost
Massey WEB -4.4 (-12.4) — —
Massey Totals — 158.3 (-16.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WEB -4.1 (-12.1) 153.5 (-11.5) 73% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -2.5 (-10.5) 152.0 (-10.0) 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -3.8 (-11.8) 149.1 (-7.1) 70% ✗
Baseline ML WEB -3.5 (-11.5) 150.8 (-8.8) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 WEB 83 – 72 IDHO
Mar 1, 2025 IDHO 81 – 79 WEB
Jan 31, 2025 IDHO 82 – 74 WEB
Feb 16, 2024 WEB 70 – 69 IDHO
Jan 21, 2024 WEB 88 – 65 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB IDHO
Overall 16-16 21-15
Conference 10-8 9-9
Home 11-5 9-4
Away 5-10 7-9
Neutral 0-1 5-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.8 75.8
Avg Pts Against 79.1 74.1
Massey 0.4 (#155) -0.6 (#177)
Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#201) -0.11 (#185)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.14 (#180) -0.22 (#188)
RPI 0.471 (#230) 0.475 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB IDHO
FG% 46.1% 42.8%
3PT% 35.6% 34.1%
REB / G 37.6 34.7
OREB / G 11.9 10.7
AST / TO 1.14 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 51.3%
TOV% 16.6% 15.2%
ORB% 32.9% 29.9%
FT Rate 28.4% 28.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 15.7%
DRB% 70.1% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 28.2%

Game Analysis

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