I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Weber State Wildcats
74 – 82
FINAL Conference
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · January 31, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -1.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money WEB -130 / IDHO +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual IDHO +8 156 Lost
Massey WEB -2.1 (-10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 148.1 (+7.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 58% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 64% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WEB -0.5 (-8.5) 143.8 (+12.2) 51% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -1.7 (-9.7) 143.6 (+12.4) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -1.4 (-9.4) 143.5 (+12.5) 58% ✗
Baseline ML WEB -1.0 (-9.0) 144.9 (+11.1) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 WEB 83 – 72 IDHO
Jan 18, 2026 IDHO 75 – 67 WEB
Mar 1, 2025 IDHO 81 – 79 WEB
Feb 16, 2024 WEB 70 – 69 IDHO
Jan 21, 2024 WEB 88 – 65 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB IDHO
Overall 12-22 14-19
Conference 5-13 8-10
Home 5-10 8-6
Away 4-11 5-11
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.9 72.1
Avg Pts Against 74.4 76.6
Massey -6.1 (#262) -4.9 (#245)
Bradley-Terry -1.18 (#272) -0.90 (#246)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#270) -1.26 (#254)
RPI 0.451 (#258) 0.445 (#268)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB IDHO
FG% 44.1% 44.4%
3PT% 32.2% 35.1%
REB / G 31.9 32.3
OREB / G 9.3 9.7
AST / TO 0.89 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 52.6%
TOV% 18.0% 18.1%
ORB% 28.0% 29.0%
FT Rate 25.3% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 16.2%
DRB% 67.3% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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