Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -260 WEB +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -5.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -4.1 (-2.1) | 143.1 (+16.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -2.7 (-0.7) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -4.4 (-2.4) | 141.1 (+18.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -4.1 (-2.1) | 143.6 (+16.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WEB 83 – 72 IDHO |
| Jan 18, 2026 | IDHO 75 – 67 WEB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDHO 82 – 74 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WEB 70 – 69 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WEB 88 – 65 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -7.9 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#269) | -1.53 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#266) | -1.92 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#281) | 0.439 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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