Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +300 WEB -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -7.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -7.0 (+6.0) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -7.1 (+6.1) | 135.3 (+3.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -6.5 (+5.5) | 138.6 (+0.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -6.5 (+5.5) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WEB 83 – 72 IDHO |
| Jan 18, 2026 | IDHO 75 – 67 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDHO 81 – 79 WEB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDHO 82 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WEB 88 – 65 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#298) | 3.2 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#290) | 0.42 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#297) | 0.72 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#305) | 0.520 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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