Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -1600 IDHO +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +23 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -16.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -12.0 (+11.0) | 138.2 (+14.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -11.7 (+11.3) | 134.4 (+18.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -11.6 (+11.4) | 137.9 (+15.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -11.9 (+11.1) | 138.2 (+14.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WEB 83 – 72 IDHO |
| Jan 18, 2026 | IDHO 75 – 67 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDHO 81 – 79 WEB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDHO 82 – 74 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WEB 70 – 69 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#103) | -7.7 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#146) | -1.25 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#124) | -1.71 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#159) | 0.408 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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