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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–16 on winners spread MAE 8.0 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Notre Dame @ Clemson +2.7 134.7 62% 76–61 ✗
Vermont @ UAlbany -8.3 132.0 19% 76–63 ✓
Hartford @ NJIT +0.7 136.6 48% 65–49 ✗
UIC @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.2 141.0 69% 66–73 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +5.1 138.8 72% 51–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +12.6 139.5 87% 57–69 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +0.3 150.0 53% 79–85 ✓
Canisius @ Marist +5.9 141.2 73% 70–71 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan +0.5 139.1 56% 63–77 ✓
South Florida @ Wichita State +12.5 127.9 86% 69–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Tulsa -3.8 135.4 38% 77–83 ✗
Utah @ Colorado +5.7 139.4 79% 76–81 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State -0.1 139.1 39% 77–63 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego +4.0 132.9 70% 54–60 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +9.4 123.2 85% 62–69 ✓
Drake @ Bradley +1.3 137.9 64% 59–68 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +8.7 156.5 80% 86–91 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas -2.1 144.8 39% 75–64 ✓
Mississippi State @ LSU +8.5 134.9 81% 65–69 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +18.6 123.5 89% 64–76 ✓
Ole Miss @ Missouri +0.4 132.9 58% 68–74 ✓
Penn State @ Minnesota +1.8 128.5 59% 70–76 ✓
Portland State @ Montana +4.9 141.3 68% 76–85 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -9.2 137.9 23% 60–61 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State -13.9 138.3 14% 74–52 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +13.3 144.0 86% 58–74 ✓
UCLA @ USC -1.4 137.5 53% 64–67 ✗
Arizona State @ Washington State +11.6 138.3 85% 58–55 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +6.4 130.0 66% 71–65 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -9.5 127.7 15% 69–64 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ California Baptist +5.7 151.3 76% 72–80 ✓
BYU @ Pepperdine -11.9 147.2 16% 91–85 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland -0.9 141.4 49% 76–86 ✗
Stanford @ Oregon State -4.3 136.2 27% 76–65 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +1.8 132.0 58% 55–72 ✓
UConn @ St. John's -2.8 150.4 39% 63–60 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +7.3 140.8 74% 73–68 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +5.5 140.5 63% 75–71 ✗
Maryland @ Purdue +13.4 150.0 88% 61–62 ✓
Stony Brook @ Maine -7.7 139.5 22% 85–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland +5.9 143.8 75% 59–75 ✓
Monmouth @ Iona +7.5 141.9 77% 62–70 ✓
Siena @ Rider +1.0 133.8 52% 76–75 ✗
Northwestern @ Illinois +10.9 143.0 86% 66–73 ✓
UAB @ Old Dominion -7.3 138.4 23% 72–81 ✗
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +2.9 126.9 55% 44–54 ✓
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +3.9 148.6 62% 83–66 ✗
Nebraska @ Iowa +16.9 163.4 89% 75–98 ✓
Marshall @ UTEP +6.8 145.3 79% 88–79 ✗
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee +5.7 144.6 77% 63–78 ✓
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro +4.9 131.2 71% 73–64 ✗
Colorado State @ Boise State +3.9 132.4 67% 77–74 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago +11.9 135.0 84% 58–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.