Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -220 GB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +10 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -4.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.9 (+7.1) | 126.9 (-28.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.0 (+7.0) | 132.2 (-34.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.0 (+7.0) | 131.5 (-33.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -2.6 (+7.4) | 130.1 (-32.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MILW 75 – 72 GB |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GB 79 – 76 MILW |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MILW 95 – 84 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-10 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#323) | -11.5 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#326) | -3.17 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#329) | -3.64 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#334) | 0.377 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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