Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | GB -115 MILW -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +11 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -3.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -2.5 (-13.5) | 144.6 (+34.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -1.3 (-12.3) | 150.3 (+28.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -1.9 (-12.9) | 145.2 (+33.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -2.2 (-13.2) | 145.2 (+33.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MILW 75 – 72 GB |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GB 79 – 76 MILW |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MILW 90 – 69 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#226) | -4.0 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#187) | -0.35 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#211) | -0.79 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#167) | 0.500 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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