Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -155 GB +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -0.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -0.3 (+2.7) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -3.0 (-0.0) | 143.4 (+3.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -0.7 (+2.3) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -0.2 (+2.8) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | GB 79 – 76 MILW |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MILW 95 – 84 GB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MILW 90 – 69 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#261) | -3.8 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#263) | -0.04 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#274) | -0.30 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#257) | 0.521 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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