Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Milwaukee Panthers
70 – 59
FINAL Conference
Green Bay Phoenix
Horizon League · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -15.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money MILW -2500 / GB +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual MILW +11 129 Won
Massey MILW -15.5 (-4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 155.1 (-26.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MILW -11.6 (-0.6) 145.9 (-16.9) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MILW -11.0 (+0.0) 145.6 (-16.6) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -11.7 (-0.7) 147.6 (-18.6) 88% ✓
Baseline ML MILW -11.8 (-0.8) 146.6 (-17.6) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 MILW 75 – 72 GB
Jan 6, 2026 GB 79 – 76 MILW
Dec 12, 2024 MILW 88 – 67 GB
Mar 8, 2024 MILW 95 – 84 GB
Mar 2, 2024 MILW 90 – 69 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW GB
Overall 21-11 4-28
Conference 14-6 2-18
Home 13-3 3-11
Away 7-8 1-17
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.7 69.9
Avg Pts Against 72.5 80.6
Massey 1.2 (#141) -10.3 (#325)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#133) -2.18 (#332)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#128) -2.35 (#313)
RPI 0.534 (#103) 0.405 (#329)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW GB
FG% 45.1% 44.4%
3PT% 31.3% 33.5%
REB / G 41.1 28.2
OREB / G 15.1 5.1
AST / TO 0.82 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 52.6%
TOV% 20.6% 19.4%
ORB% 41.3% 16.4%
FT Rate 24.5% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 55.4%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 15.5%
DRB% 74.1% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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