Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Green Bay Phoenix
67 – 88
FINAL Conference
Milwaukee Panthers
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -6.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Money GB +215 / MILW -260
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual MILW +21 155 Lost
Massey MILW -2.1 (-18.9) — —
Massey Totals — 160.0 (-5.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 22% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MILW -3.9 (-17.1) 149.4 (+5.6) 30% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MILW -3.5 (-17.5) 148.2 (+6.8) 32% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -4.3 (-16.7) 149.9 (+5.1) 35% ✓
Baseline ML MILW -3.3 (-17.7) 152.1 (+2.9) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 MILW 75 – 72 GB
Jan 6, 2026 GB 79 – 76 MILW
Jan 11, 2025 MILW 70 – 59 GB
Mar 8, 2024 MILW 95 – 84 GB
Mar 2, 2024 MILW 90 – 69 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB MILW
Overall 4-28 21-11
Conference 2-18 14-6
Home 3-11 13-3
Away 1-17 7-8
Neutral 0-0 1-0
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 76.7
Avg Pts Against 80.6 72.5
Massey -7.9 (#303) -1.4 (#181)
Bradley-Terry -2.00 (#327) 0.09 (#169)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.14 (#300) 0.45 (#148)
RPI 0.384 (#337) 0.512 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors GB MILW
FG% 44.5% 45.7%
3PT% 34.0% 29.7%
REB / G 29.1 40.1
OREB / G 5.6 14.6
AST / TO 1.00 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 50.6%
TOV% 18.1% 20.2%
ORB% 17.2% 40.4%
FT Rate 27.3% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 16.9%
DRB% 66.6% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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