I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Green Bay Phoenix
67 88
FINAL Conference
Milwaukee Panthers
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -6.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Money GB +215 / MILW -260
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual MILW +21 155 Lost
Massey MILW -2.1 (-18.9)
Massey Totals 160.0 (-5.0)
Bradley-Terry 22%
Weighted B-T 16%
Efficiency Plus ML MILW -3.5 (-17.5) 148.2 (+6.8) 32%
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -4.3 (-16.7) 149.9 (+5.1) 35%
Baseline ML MILW -3.3 (-17.7) 152.1 (+2.9) 30%
Baseline Plus ML MILW -3.9 (-17.1) 149.4 (+5.6) 30%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 MILW 7572 GB
Jan 6, 2026 GB 7976 MILW
Jan 11, 2025 MILW 7059 GB
Mar 8, 2024 MILW 9584 GB
Mar 2, 2024 MILW 9069 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB MILW
Overall 4-28 21-11
Conference 2-18 14-6
Home 3-11 13-3
Away 1-17 7-8
Neutral 0-0 1-0
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 76.7
Avg Pts Against 80.6 72.5
Massey -7.9 (#303) -1.4 (#181)
Bradley-Terry -2.00 (#327) 0.09 (#169)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.14 (#300) 0.45 (#148)
RPI 0.384 (#337) 0.512 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors GB MILW
FG% 44.5% 45.7%
3PT% 34.0% 29.7%
REB / G 29.1 40.1
OREB / G 5.6 14.6
AST / TO 1.00 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 50.6%
TOV% 18.1% 20.2%
ORB% 17.2% 40.4%
FT Rate 27.3% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 16.9%
DRB% 66.6% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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