Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -250 GB +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +21 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -1.8 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -0.9 (+20.1) | 143.3 (+15.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.0 (+19.0) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.5 (+19.5) | 143.5 (+15.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.1 (+19.9) | 145.0 (+14.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MILW 75 – 72 GB |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GB 79 – 76 MILW |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MILW 95 – 84 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#246) | -2.6 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#215) | -0.12 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#255) | -0.36 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#186) | 0.505 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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