Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GB +142 MILW -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GB -1.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.1 (+1.9) | 145.6 (+9.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -0.2 (+2.8) | 146.6 (+8.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -1.5 (+1.5) | 144.0 (+11.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -0.8 (+2.2) | 145.1 (+9.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MILW 75 – 72 GB |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MILW 95 – 84 GB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MILW 90 – 69 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#235) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#169) | -0.32 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#169) | -0.56 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#118) | 0.489 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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