Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | USC +160 UCLA -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -2.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.4 (+4.4) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.0 (+4.0) | 140.1 (-9.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -0.7 (+3.7) | 139.5 (-8.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -0.8 (+3.8) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UCLA 89 – 68 USC |
| Feb 25, 2026 | UCLA 81 – 62 USC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 63 USC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UCLA 82 – 76 USC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | USC 62 – 56 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#35) | 16.9 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#27) | 3.11 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#29) | 4.09 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#39) | 0.615 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.