Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | USC +105 UCLA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -2.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -1.4 (-4.6) | 142.9 (+15.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.2 (-4.8) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.5 (-4.5) | 141.1 (+16.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -1.6 (-4.4) | 142.3 (+15.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UCLA 89 – 68 USC |
| Feb 25, 2026 | UCLA 81 – 62 USC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 63 USC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | USC 62 – 56 UCLA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UCLA 65 – 50 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#66) | 15.1 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#61) | 2.24 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#60) | 2.76 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#71) | 0.582 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.