Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -200 MAN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +17 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -5.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -3.9 (-20.9) | 148.6 (+0.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -4.3 (-21.3) | 150.4 (-1.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -4.1 (-21.1) | 152.8 (-3.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -3.6 (-20.6) | 150.9 (-1.9) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#238) | -6.5 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#218) | -0.51 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#231) | -0.89 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#238) | 0.460 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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