Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -1000 USF +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -14.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -12.5 (-8.5) | 127.9 (+14.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -11.5 (-7.5) | 128.5 (+13.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -11.5 (-7.5) | 127.4 (+14.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -10.2 (-6.2) | 128.8 (+13.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | USF 70 – 55 WICH |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USF 66 – 58 WICH |
| Jan 18, 2026 | WICH 86 – 85 USF |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WICH 73 – 68 USF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#78) | -3.5 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#100) | -0.57 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#84) | -0.56 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#94) | 0.459 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.