Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | USF -130 WICH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -0.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -0.4 (-5.4) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USF -1.5 (-6.5) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -0.3 (-5.3) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USF -0.2 (-5.2) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | USF 70 – 55 WICH |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USF 66 – 58 WICH |
| Jan 18, 2026 | WICH 86 – 85 USF |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WICH 73 – 68 USF |
| Jan 7, 2025 | USF 91 – 72 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | 1.0 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#205) | 0.08 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#211) | 0.13 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#221) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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