Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WICH +114 USF -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -0.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (-40.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -1.2 (-9.2) | 158.5 (-34.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -0.7 (-8.7) | 157.4 (-33.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -1.6 (-9.6) | 154.7 (-30.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -1.9 (-9.9) | 157.2 (-33.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | USF 70 – 55 WICH |
| Jan 18, 2026 | WICH 86 – 85 USF |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WICH 73 – 68 USF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 USF |
| Jan 7, 2025 | USF 91 – 72 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 86.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#85) | 9.6 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#107) | 1.19 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#109) | 1.95 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#104) | 0.566 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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