We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
Wichita State Shockers
73 – 68
FINAL Neutral Conference American Athletic Conference
South Florida Bulls
American Conference · Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -2.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money WICH -150 / USF +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual WICH +5 141 Won
Massey WICH -3.7 (+1.3) — —
Massey Totals — 144.6 (-3.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -2.8 (+2.2) 139.1 (+1.9) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WICH -2.1 (+2.9) 141.5 (-0.5) 62% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WICH -2.8 (+2.2) 140.9 (+0.1) 66% ✓
Baseline ML WICH -2.5 (+2.5) 138.9 (+2.1) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 USF 70 – 55 WICH
Feb 12, 2026 USF 66 – 58 WICH
Jan 18, 2026 WICH 86 – 85 USF
Feb 9, 2025 WICH 75 – 70 USF
Jan 7, 2025 USF 91 – 72 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH USF
Overall 19-15 13-19
Conference 8-10 6-12
Home 11-6 9-6
Away 5-7 2-10
Neutral 3-2 2-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L5
Avg Pts For 73.6 73.4
Avg Pts Against 73.1 75.4
Massey 1.6 (#137) -2.1 (#199)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#135) -0.54 (#220)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.36 (#140) -0.63 (#214)
RPI 0.519 (#141) 0.467 (#249)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH USF
FG% 44.6% 44.1%
3PT% 29.1% 31.6%
REB / G 38.4 34.2
OREB / G 11.7 10.0
AST / TO 1.05 1.23
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 50.1%
TOV% 16.2% 16.4%
ORB% 32.5% 27.6%
FT Rate 25.1% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 18.3%
DRB% 72.0% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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