Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +110 LMU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -1.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -0.9 (+10.9) | 141.4 (+20.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.4 (+8.6) | 143.3 (+18.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -0.9 (+9.1) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -1.4 (+8.6) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#224) | -1.8 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#191) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#203) | 0.30 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#215) | 0.513 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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