Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -395 PORT +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -8.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.1 (-19.1) | 145.2 (-16.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -7.7 (-20.7) | 145.4 (-16.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -6.6 (-19.6) | 142.7 (-13.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -6.3 (-19.3) | 144.3 (-15.3) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LMU 92 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#145) | -4.0 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#140) | -0.35 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#132) | -0.39 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.472 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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