Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -600 PORT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +27 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -12.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -9.5 (+17.5) | 145.1 (+11.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -9.5 (+17.5) | 146.6 (+10.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -9.6 (+17.4) | 146.9 (+10.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -9.2 (+17.8) | 145.7 (+11.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#165) | -8.8 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#207) | -1.17 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#213) | -1.20 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.443 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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