Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +145 LMU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -6.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -6.0 (+16.0) | 146.0 (-16.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -5.3 (+15.3) | 146.9 (-16.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -4.6 (+14.6) | 147.4 (-17.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -4.6 (+14.6) | 147.1 (-17.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LMU 92 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#314) | 0.2 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#277) | -0.52 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#275) | -0.55 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#285) | 0.464 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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