Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -900 PORT +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +25 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -13.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -9.8 (+15.2) | 146.8 (+4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -10.9 (+14.1) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -11.5 (+13.5) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -11.5 (+13.5) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LMU 92 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#163) | -10.3 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#101) | -1.60 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#96) | -2.19 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#107) | 0.427 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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