Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +190 LMU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +11 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -6.7 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.3 (+17.3) | 144.1 (+22.9) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -5.8 (+16.8) | 146.2 (+20.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -4.2 (+15.2) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -5.5 (+16.5) | 143.0 (+24.0) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LMU 92 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#318) | 0.0 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#283) | 0.55 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#277) | 0.58 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#299) | 0.523 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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