Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -7.0 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money YSU -320 / RMU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual RMU +5 141 Lost
Massey YSU -9.0 (-14.0) — —
Massey Totals — 144.6 (-3.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -7.3 (-12.3) 140.8 (+0.2) 74% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -8.5 (-13.5) 144.1 (-3.1) 81% ✗
Baseline ML YSU -7.5 (-12.5) 143.6 (-2.6) 78% ✗
Baseline Plus ML YSU -9.0 (-14.0) 141.9 (-0.9) 80% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 68 – 53 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 80 – 77 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 89 – 78 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 72 – 70 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU RMU
Overall 19-15 8-24
Conference 12-9 5-16
Home 13-7 4-10
Away 6-8 4-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.6 68.4
Avg Pts Against 70.8 75.5
Massey -3.4 (#229) -9.4 (#314)
Bradley-Terry -0.72 (#239) -2.61 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.90 (#242) -2.95 (#340)
RPI 0.457 (#252) 0.415 (#317)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU RMU
FG% 44.4% 44.7%
3PT% 33.9% 32.9%
REB / G 34.5 33.1
OREB / G 9.8 9.0
AST / TO 1.00 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 50.1%
TOV% 17.3% 20.9%
ORB% 29.4% 27.7%
FT Rate 23.0% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.8%
DRB% 72.6% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.7% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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