Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -120 PSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -1.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.8 (+4.2) | 128.5 (+17.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.4 (+3.6) | 131.1 (+14.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.0 (+4.0) | 132.0 (+14.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -2.1 (+3.9) | 129.8 (+16.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | PSU 77 – 75 MINN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PSU 69 – 60 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MINN 69 – 61 PSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MINN 75 – 70 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 – 74 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#100) | 6.7 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#79) | 1.13 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#89) | 1.51 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#76) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.