Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -300 PSU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -5.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -5.7 (-0.7) | 152.3 (-7.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -3.6 (+1.4) | 151.7 (-6.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -5.4 (-0.4) | 150.3 (-5.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.5 (-0.5) | 152.4 (-7.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | PSU 77 – 75 MINN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PSU 69 – 60 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MINN 69 – 61 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 – 74 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PSU 76 – 69 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#71) | 6.5 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#88) | 0.81 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#74) | 1.18 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#142) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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