Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +225 PSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -9.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -8.5 (+1.5) | 138.7 (+6.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -9.0 (+2.0) | 139.3 (+5.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -8.2 (+1.2) | 138.0 (+7.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -8.1 (+1.1) | 138.9 (+6.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | PSU 77 – 75 MINN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PSU 69 – 60 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MINN 69 – 61 PSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MINN 75 – 70 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 – 74 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#232) | 9.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#227) | 1.44 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#241) | 2.05 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#273) | 0.542 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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