Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -150 PSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -0.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -1.4 (-10.4) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.4 (-10.4) | 140.4 (-11.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -1.4 (-10.4) | 141.2 (-12.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.0 (-11.0) | 142.2 (-13.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | PSU 77 – 75 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MINN 69 – 61 PSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MINN 75 – 70 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 – 74 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PSU 76 – 69 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#87) | 10.3 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#63) | 0.97 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#61) | 1.70 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#86) | 0.513 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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