Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +130 MINN -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -1.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -2.3 (+4.3) | 141.1 (+10.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.3 (+3.3) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.1 (+4.1) | 140.0 (+12.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -1.3 (+3.3) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | PSU 69 – 60 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MINN 69 – 61 PSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MINN 75 – 70 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 – 74 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PSU 76 – 69 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#127) | 7.1 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#162) | 1.01 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#164) | 1.51 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#176) | 0.508 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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