Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -250 NKU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -4.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -5.5 (-9.5) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -4.2 (-8.2) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -4.1 (-8.1) | 142.5 (+3.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -3.0 (-7.0) | 140.8 (+5.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#205) | -3.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#230) | -0.80 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#221) | -1.15 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#200) | 0.467 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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