Wright State
Raiders
103
–
90
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Northern Kentucky
Norse
Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -112 NKU -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +13 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -1.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+39.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -2.2 (+10.8) | 150.0 (+43.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -3.3 (+9.7) | 147.5 (+45.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -3.0 (+10.0) | 149.8 (+43.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.9 (+10.1) | 150.2 (+42.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NKU 99 – 97 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#147) | -0.5 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#132) | -0.18 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#141) | -0.25 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#104) | 0.502 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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