Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -162 WRST +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +1 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -1.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.6 (-2.6) | 146.6 (+36.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.3 (-2.3) | 147.3 (+35.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.3 (-2.3) | 149.1 (+33.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -1.1 (-2.1) | 148.2 (+34.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NKU 99 – 97 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#184) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#197) | 0.23 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#195) | 0.25 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#191) | 0.528 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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