Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -130 WRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -0.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.6 (-8.6) | 138.3 (+9.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.4 (-8.4) | 137.6 (+10.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.2 (-8.2) | 139.2 (+8.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.4 (-8.4) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NKU 99 – 97 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#229) | -1.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#229) | -0.40 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#238) | -0.22 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#237) | 0.485 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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